As factional politics in the ANC comes to a head, it is obvious to state that there will be winners and losers. The $64 000 question is: Who will win and by how much? In this high stakes contest, the policy and future prospects of South Africa depend on the outcome. Politics, not economics, is the…
This article was written by Professor Ivor Sarakinsky – bespoke for Dynasty clients. In times of the long knives, corruption is a double-edged sword. The factional battles within the ANC are now coming to a head as groupings fight for control, rather than the heart and soul, of the organisation. Who will remain standing, will…
This article was written by Professor Ivor Sarakinsky – bespoke for Dynasty clients. The clichés of a crisis being an opportunity are doing the rounds at the moment with Covid-19, directly and indirectly, bringing South Africa to a near standstill. Crisis also exposes and amplifies deep-seated fault lines in society that no longer can be…
Deep divisions within the ANC remain We survived the election and the second wave of turbulence surrounding President Ramaphosa’s Cabinet announcement. Does this mean that there are blue skies ahead? There will be some turbulence and it will now take different forms that a full Parliament and Executive is in place. The Cabinet provides some…
The election circus The election circus has come and gone with the advertising posters on light posts all that remains. There were lots of harlequins, clowns and jesters whose antics were neither funny nor entertaining. This may explain the disturbing 7.4% decline in voter turnout. Citizens were simply not amused. About 9 million eligible voters…
Ivor Sarakinsky has been Dynasty’s primary consulting political analyst for some years now, he teaches at the Wits School of Governance, has a PhD in Political Studies from the University of the Witwatersrand, and recently obtained his professorship. He has achieved much in his career — for example he was an expert for the ANC’s…
The old political year ended with spectacles of beach parties in Cape Town while the new calendar year begins with the ANC celebrating its 107 birthday. Both will shape the political landscape in South Africa in the build-up to the election in May and the ability of a new administration to act thereafter.
Brace yourself! The ANC’s transition is over. Zuma is out of office, the ANC has a new leader, and South Africa has a new President who has appointed a new Cabinet. Surely political dynamics will now stabilise, and we can all now get on with our lives and business. Two of the ANC’s Top 6,…
No matter how hard one shakes, oil and water will always eventually separate. The two ingredients are by nature incompatible. This analogy describes the outcome of the 54th ANC Electoral Conference. The Top Six is almost split down the middle and the National Executive Committee (NEC) is exactly split down the middle. The proclaimed Unity…
